So I watched the Agenda with Steve Paikin last night. It was about public confidence in science. It was funny for a couple reasons.
First, a few of the guests seemed to have no concept of the problem of demarcation. The problem is that we don’t know how to sort out the scientific from the non-scientific, in any principled way. It might be easy to sort out some extreme cases (the tooth fairy). But if you think that the division is always clear, I’ll bet you haven’t thought carefully enough about it. The scientific community might have an established policy concerning what counts as scientific. But that doesn’t mean they have a principled basis for the policy, capable of withstanding philosophical scrutiny.
At least one of the guests seemed to think that the whole hullaballoo would dissolve if people only understood what science is. There is surely some truth this this, but in my judgment not nearly as much as you might think. What science is isn’t obvious, is it?
Second, one of the guests talked about what he called ‘the illusion of consensus on the matter of climate change’. Another of the guests, a pretty young research scientist, was asked to respond. Her only response was that she had no response. She smiled, batted her pretty eyes in utter disbelief, and said she simply had no response.
She said all her colleagues believe in climate change, she asserted climate change, she said climate change was a working assumption in much of her daily work as a research scientist, but she could say no more. Maybe this was the right response for her to make. But it didn’t address his specific point that the document people inevitably make reference to when they talk about the scientific consensus on climate change is not a true expression of scientific consensus (for a number of reasons).
Since she believes in climate change, she doesn’t need to consider the case against it. Given limited time and money, that might be how it works. But then the case for her beliefs on climate change isn’t ‘evidence based’ in the relevant sense. Instead, her beliefs are legitimated by the plausibility structure of the community which matters for her success, along with other evidentially irrelevant pragmatic factors.
My only point here is that this does not square with what the apologists of science have to say about science when they are trying to convince the unwashed masses of the greatness of science. They’re always bragging about how different they are from the humanities departments: they have to base all their beliefs on the evidence and they have to relinquish any belief that isn’t supported by the evidence. Sort of, but not quite.
The best observation of the evening was by a fellow who noted that people don’t distrust science per se, they distrust the corporations and institutions who bankroll science. Isn’t this distrust at least somewhat appropriate?
(BTW - if you read the preceding as a personal endorsement of anti-climate change beliefs you’ve misread me.)